2018 Midterms

US Senate

Chance of Democrat Control 5%
Chance of GOP Control 95%
Expected Democrat Seats 48
Between 41 - 54
Expected GOP Seats
52
Between 46 - 59

US House

Chance of Democrat Control 80%
Chance of GOP Control 20%
Expected Democrat Seats 223
Between 203 - 244
Expected GOP Seats
212
Between 191 - 232

Chances Over Time

Senate

House

Senate Races to Watch

State Current Holder % Chance of Winning
West VirginiaD 88% D
MontanaD 86% D
ArizonaR 74% D
MissouriD52% D
North DakotaD52% R
NevadaR 52% R
TennesseeR 57% R
IndianaD 54% R
FloridaD 56% R
TexasR 64% R

Other Races

State Current Holder % Chance of Winning
CaliforniaD 100% D
ConnecticutD 88% D
DelawareD >99% D
MaineI >99% I
MarylandD >99% D
MassachussetsD >99% D
MichiganD 97% D
MinnesotaD 97% D
Minnesota (Special Election)D 81% D
MississipiR 96% R
NebraskaR 99% R
New JerseyD 81% D
New MexicoD 85% D
New YorkD >99% D
OhioD 93% D
PennsylvaniaD 92% D
Rhode IslandD >99% D
UtahR >99% R
VermontI >99% I
VirginiaD >99% D
WashingtonD 97% D
WisconsinD 87% D
WyomingR >99% R
*Because the Vice President breaks ties, the chance of a tie is included in the chance of GOP control but displayed seperately here.
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